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Sure, there were a few wobbly days in the stock markets as a result of the fear of the (still unclear) Evergrande consequences, but the market quickly recovered after investors decided that Evergrande wasn’t the droid that people were looking for, or at least not yet. There was a lot of chatter about how Evergrande would be China’s Lehman Brothers moment. Last week, it looked like the collapse of Evergrande-the Chinese real-estate conglomerate, with some $300 billion of debt-would send markets reeling around the world. But no one can quite figure out what will become the catalyst for the inevitable decline in the financial markets.
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People know in their guts, as well as in their brains, that the combination of the highest stock prices and lowest bond yields in recorded history is not sustainable and that a massive correction is coming. It’s a fascinating and precarious situation. What’s going to kill the party that has been raging on Wall Street since March 2009? That’s the question preoccupying many executives, bankers, and traders on Wall Street lately, especially since most of them agree that both the stock and bond markets are priced for perfection and that the circumstances on the ground are pretty far from perfect.